Regeneron Stock: A Look into My Investing Process
Until now,
I’ve used this blog primarily to share thoughts on market trends and
macroeconomic developments. While it is important to understand current
market conditions and have a general sense of macroeconomics, I generally find
little interest in covering these topics. I am, at heart, a bottom-up investor.
In other words, a bulk of what I do is analyze individual companies and invest
through that perspective, rather than through a macroeconomic perspective.
Today, I’m offering a first look into how I evaluate a
company for potential investment. As always, this is not financial advice. I’m
not recommending that you buy any stock. Instead, consider this case study a
window into my investment process.
Why
Regeneron?
Regeneron
is a stock I’m currently watching closely. I already hold a position in my
personal portfolio, and I may increase it significantly. That said, it’s
currently one of my losing positions—down about 20%. Still, I believe the
future could be bright.
The stock
is down more than 50% from its all-time highs, which is often the first thing
that catches my attention. I love a good turnaround story. Of course, a falling
stock price alone isn’t a reason to buy—some might even argue it’s a red flag.
But I see opportunity in beaten-down names, especially when the fundamentals
remain strong.
Fundamentals
First
The first
thing I look at when analyzing stocks is deceptively simple: is the company
making money? In Regeneron’s case, they’re practically printing it. Over the
trailing twelve months, the company generated more than $14 billion in revenue
with a 31% profit margin. If you don’t know, that’s excellent.
Next, I
examine cash reserves and debt levels. Again, Regeneron shines. The company
holds over $8 billion in cash and carries virtually no debt. Its current ratio
is 4.93, meaning it has nearly five times more current assets than current
liabilities. These are stellar numbers, indicating a rock-solid financial
foundation.
But if
investing were as easy as analyzing current fundamentals, everyone would be
good at it. The real challenge lies in understanding sentiment and anticipating
future developments.
The
Challenges
Investor
sentiment around Regeneron has soured recently. One of its flagship drugs,
Eylea, is facing slowing growth due to increased competition—a natural part of
the drug lifecycle. On top of that, a disappointing Phase III trial report for
another key drug, Dupixent, has further dampened enthusiasm.
As a
result, the stock has largely fallen off the radar. But I believe that’s a
mistake.
The
Opportunity
Regeneron
has a robust drug pipeline and some of the best financials in the industry to
support future growth. The company also recently acquired 23andMe at a
discount. While I have mixed feelings about the ethical implications of this
acquisition, it signals Regeneron’s commitment to expanding its drug
development capabilities. The genetic data from 23andMe could prove invaluable
in both R&D and targeted marketing.
What
excites me most, however, is Regeneron’s potential entry into the weight loss
treatment space. A promising Phase II trial showed that Trevogrumab—a drug in
their pipeline—can help preserve lean muscle mass when used alongside
semaglutide (the active ingredient in blockbuster drugs like Ozempic). If you
follow the medical industry at all, the blockbuster development of the last
year or two has been weight loss treatments. However, one of the major
drawbacks of GLP-1 treatments like semaglutide is muscle loss. If Trevogrumab
can mitigate that, it could be a game-changer in weight loss treatment and
prove very beneficial to Regeneron’s stock price.
Final
Thoughts
Of course,
nothing is guaranteed. Eylea and Dupixent could continue to struggle, and the
weight loss pipeline might not pan out. But with a price-to-earnings ratio
around 13 and outstanding fundamentals, I’m comfortable making a calculated bet
on Regeneron.
Stock
picking isn’t a science—if it were, it would be easy. It’s an art. You have to
make calculated bets. Due the research I’ve outlined above, I’m making a calculated
bet that Regeneron will experience increased investor sentiment in the future
and return to solid growth.
I hope this case study gives you some insight into how I approach stock selection. Again, this is not a recommendation to buy Regeneron, but rather an example of how I think through an investment thesis. Hopefully, I’ll be back in the future with an update—and a gain to report. Although I do not provide financial advice, I am always willing to talk stocks. Feel free to email me at epstock10@gmail.com
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